Cannes 2023 Palme d’Or Predictions: Who May Win?

Up to date Could 26, 2023: The Cannes jury will hand out its awards on Saturday, Could 27. The ultimate predictions for which movies and performances will win are listed under.

The Cannes Movie Competition has had its justifiable share of spectacular film premieres this yr, with audiences embracing new movies from the likes of Jonathan Glazer, Todd Haynes and Hirokazu Kore-eda. However even essentially the most sustained standing ovation doesn’t assure {that a} film will stroll away with the Palme d’Or, Cannes’ highest honor.

All of it depends upon the vagaries of the jury’s style, and this one is headed up by Ruben Östlund, a two time Palme d’Or winner for “Triangle of Unhappiness” and “The Sq..” And it’s not simply Östlund’s choice to make. The last word victor will come all the way down to the private opinions of jury members Maryam Touzani, Denis Ménochet, Rungano Nyoni, Brie Larson, Paul Dano, Atiq Rahimi, Damián Szifrón and Julia Ducournau.

It’s inconceivable to gauge what movies and performances will converse to them and their cinematic sensibilities. However, primarily based on the reception to the movies in competitors, in addition to conversations with attendees and business professionals, we will guess which moviemakers might finish the week basking in victory.

Cannes coverage prevents the winner of the Palme d’Or from capturing another further prize. So getting the precise breakdown of issues will be difficult. Additionally, not each film has been screened as of Could 22, so this record may change as we get nearer to the tip of the pageant.

There are some out of competitors titles, reminiscent of Martin Scorsese’s “Killers of the Flower Moon” or Un Sure Regard movies reminiscent of “The Delinquents” by Rodrigo Moreno and “The Breaking Ice” by Anthony Chen, which have generated loads of warmth. Whereas they’re not eligible for any most important competitors prizes, control them all through the season.

Courtesy of Cannes Movie Competition

Palme d’Or (Golden Palm), Grand Prix (Grand Prize of the Competition), Prix du Jury (Jury Prize)

  1. “Anatomy of a Fall” – Justine Triet
  2. “The Zone of Curiosity” – Jonathan Glazer
  3. “Could December” – Todd Haynes
  4. “Fallen Leaves” — Aki Kaurismaki
  5. “Monster” – Hirokazu Kore-eda
  6. “Good Days” — Wim Wenders

There are 21 movies in competitors, and whereas all hope to stroll away with the Golden Palm, there are two different locations the place the jury can reward daring filmmaking – Grand Prix and the Jury Prize – each thought-about the runner-up spots of the ceremony.

The observe report for Palme d’Or winners shifting onto Oscar success has various through the years. Over the previous 20 years, Roman Polanski’s “The Pianist” (2002), Terrence Malick’s “The Tree of Life” (2011), Michael Haneke’s “Amour” (2012), Bong Joon-ho’s “Parasite” (2019) and Östlund’s “Triangle of Unhappiness” have acquired finest image nominations. Nonetheless, “Parasite” is certainly one of solely two Cannes winners which have matched the Academy’s selection, with the opposite being “Marty” (1955).

Solely 9 filmmakers together with Östlund have received the coveted high pageant prize greater than as soon as. Director Ken Loach can also be amongst these elite 9 (2006’s “The Wind That Shakes the Barley” and 2016’s “I, Daniel Blake”). His new movie, “The Previous Oak,” is in competitors, but it surely doesn’t display till the pageant’s final day. So it must pack a punch for the auteur to make historical past.

The opposite former winners are Hirokazu Kore-eda (“Monster”) and Wim Wenders (“Good Days”). Kore-eda’s movie was well-received and might be a darkish horse ready within the wings.

For the time being, primarily based solely on buzz and gut-checks, this appears all the way down to Justine Triet’s “Anatomy of a Fall” and Jonathan Glazer’s “The Zone of Curiosity” with a risk of Todd Haynes’ “Could December” nabbing the prize if the jury is okay not selecting certainly one of its stars – Julianne Moore and Natalie Portman — for an performing prize. Each “Anatomy” and “Zone” star Sandra Hüller, who’s acquired raves for each, may issue into their deliberations in the event that they wish to give her a second on the stage, stopping certainly one of her motion pictures from taking the highest award. That might bode properly for “Could December.”

Courtesy of Cannes Movie Competition

Prix de la mise en scene (finest director)

  1. Jonathan Glazer, “The Zone of Curiosity”
  2. Justine Triet, “Anatomy of a Fall”
  3. Aki Kaurismäki, “Fallen Leaves”
  4. Todd Haynes, “Could December”
  5. Hirokazu Kore-eda, “Monster”
  6. Alice Rohrwacher, “La Chimera”

Previous winners for guiding have included Park Chan-wook (“Choice to Depart”), Pawel Pawlikowski (“Chilly Struggle”) and Bennett Miller (“Foxcatcher”), who have been all tapped because the favorites to win the highest prize throughout their respective years.

I’m guessing no matter filmmaker directed the runner-up for the Palme d’Or will take dwelling this recognition. Nonetheless, the daring imaginative and prescient of Glazer’s “Zone of Curiosity,” which could be his masterpiece, might be too good to cross up. It’s additionally a film that has the very best shot, for the time being, of translating to Academy consideration, at the very least from the competitors movies (Out of competitors, “Killers of the Flower Moon” appears like a particular participant).

Prix d’interprétation masculine (finest actor)

  1. Koji Yakusho, “Good Days”
  2. Jude Legislation, “Firebrand”
  3. Tye Sheridan, “Black Flies”
  4. Dave Turner, “The Previous Oak”
  5. Josh O’Connor, “La Chimera”
  6. Jason Schwartzman, “Asteroid Metropolis”

There aren’t many apparent selections among the many main males on the fest.

There’s early phrase that Josh O’Connor is spectacular in “La Chimera,” so we’re maintaining a tally of what he brings to the combo. There’s additionally Tye Sheridan, the very best a part of the darkish and gritty “Black Flies,” who may win large for his work as an EMT in New York.

Prior to now, Cannes has rewarded large stars reminiscent of Antonio Banderas for “Ache and Glory” and Joaquin Phoenix for “You Have been By no means Actually Right here,” each of whom earned performing prizes. That might bode properly for somebody like Jude Legislation, who performs a paranoid Henry VIII in “Firebrand.”

Julianne Moore and Natalie Portman in Todd Haynes’ “Could December”
Francois Duhamel

Prix d’interprétation female (finest actress)

  1. Natalie Portman, “Could December”
  2. Julianne Moore and Natalie Portman, “Could December”
  3. Sandra Hüller, “Anatomy of a Fall” and “The Zone of Curiosity”
  4. Alma Poysti, “Fallen Leaves”
  5. Mia Wasikowska, “Membership Zero”
  6. Merve Dizdar, “About Dry Grasses”

Latest finest actress winners at Cannes have been breakout performers reminiscent of Zar Amir Ebrahimi (“Holy Spider”), Renate Reinsve (“The Worst Individual within the World”) and Emily Beecham (“Little Joe”). Nonetheless, often, a significant star delivers a efficiency so searing that it may’t be denied. That appears true with the “Could December” duo of Moore and Portman.

Each might be rewarded, which might mimic 2006’s “Volver” crew of actresses who have been all given the prize. In 2013, the jury awarded the Palme d’Or for “Blue is the Warmest Color” to the director and its main ladies — Léa Seydoux and Adèle Exarchopoulos. So each “Could December” ladies may gain advantage, however I might anticipate Portman to be named finest actress if just one individual can take the statue.

In the event that they by some means cancel one another out, Hüller is on fireplace on the fest with two movies, and “Membership Zero” may have one thing to supply with Mia Wasikowska.

Fallen Leaves

Prix du scénario (finest screenplay)

  1. “Fallen Leaves” — Aki Kaurismäki
  2. “Could December” — Sam Burch, Alex Mechanik
  3. “La Chimera” — Alice Rohrwacher
  4. “Monster” — Yuji Sakamoto
  5. “The Pot-Au-Feu” — Anh Hung Tran
  6. “The Zone of Curiosity” — Jonathan Glazer

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